Race Analysis for Sunday, June 27

Analysis by Randy Goulding

RACE ONE: CHILECITO is the only horse in the field that has gone this far and she ran a big race to finish second at this level. She figures to be double-tough in her second try going around three turns and she would have to take a big step backwards to get beat. SPRING SOIREE made up some ground in her latest sprint and drops to a new low for the third start of her current form cycle. She is bred to go long and over the past five years her trainer is 30 percent with horses stretching out for the first time. SCANDNASIANSENSATN closed with a rush in her latest sprint and she is out of a mare that won four route races so she should get the distance. QUATRE DAMES flopped as the chalk in her latest and should appreciate the easier company she is facing with the drop in price. Next to the top pick she also has the best Tomlinson Figure for the distance.

RACE TWO: PAT'S BID was very rank and on heels during the early stages of her latest race so it wasn't surprising she gave it up after a half-mile of fighting her rider. She moves outside and should be more comfortable stalking what figures to be a hotly contested pace. STORM VIXEN should be part of the pace but she is going to have to deal with a very quick RED MOLLY so it isn't very likely she will be able to produce the same kind of figure that she earned in her latest. Nonetheless, she does look like the one they will have to get past in the stretch. EMERALD CITY made a late move to get up for third in the same race STORM VIXEN exits and she certainly won't mind if an all out duel develops up front.

RACE THREE: RALLYING CRY got off to a slow start when he was favored in a race that produced a couple of next out winners and he won't mind the move back to a sprint. He just about won at this distance in a much tougher spot in his previous start and he is reunited with Perez who was aboard for the big effort. NEWTON JOHN takes a big drop for his first start this year and he ran a big race coming off of a similar layoff last year. He also has some speed in a race where there doesn't appear to be a lot of that particular commodity and he could take them a long way if he breaks on top. FRASERVIEW could be ready for a peak performance in the third start of his current form cycle and although he finished behind COLONDELIVERY last time, the shape of the race could work in his favor.

RACE FOUR: ARKHILL may have finished last in his latest but it sure looked like he was going to win if he got through along the rail in the stretch. Unfortunately for his connections the hole closed and Wilson had to take a hold. He is reunited with Perez who was aboard for his last two wins and it is hard not to like a horse that has won eight of 11 career starts. BANK EMBLEM also likes to win races and he has won every time he has returned from a significant break. Works are solid for his return and the only concerns are that he is a year older and surely his connections wanted him ready for the start of the meet. WOOMBROOM EXPRESS battled through extreme fractions and still held on to just miss in the same race ARKHILL exits. They probably won't be going as fast this time and once again he'll make them work for it. BURJ DUBAI couldn't have been more impressive in his debut but this is a very tough spot to try winners the first time. He'll probably get overbet so we're going to try and beat him. If he can win this his future should be very bright.

RACE FIVE: TWOBIT'N BILLIE scratched out of a conditional claiming race for fillies and mares on Friday to run with her own age group and it looks like her connections made the right move. In her latest race she forced honest fractions and held on well to finish just behind the same two horses that beat her in her previous race. They aren't in here and if she runs a similar race she should be right there. CRIMSON QUEEN looked good winning a bottom level maiden race going about 3 1/2 furlongs and she showed she can run this far when she finished fourth in her debut at Golden Gate last Nov. THERUSSIANROCKET could improve as a second time Lasix user and she won both of her races wearing blinkers last year so it is encouraging to see them go on for the first time this year. She will also appreciate the much easier company she is facing here.

RACE SIX: PEMBRIDGE may have moved a bit too soon when he stretched out for the first time this year but he still ran a big race and should improve in his second straight route. He also figures to get a similar trip behind what should be another honest pace. HUNTSMASTER has had a couple of strong works since he just missed in his latest sprint and he won going this far last year so the added distance shouldn't be a concern. QUICK FIX ran well to finish second the first time he stretched out to a middle distance last year and he should be fit enough with three sprints behind him this year. He also sheds some weight with Franco taking the call and might be worth a look at what should be an honest price. DIAMONDS LIL DEVIL should appreciate the added distance and the shape of the race. He could get up in time to help spice up the exotics.

RACE SEVEN: CLASSIC ALLEY KAT has been off since she romped over some of these for $12,500 May 8 but she's had a couple of decent works and she can fire fresh. She easily has the best last race Beyer Speed Figure and if she's ready to go she'll be tough to beat. She would obviously look a lot better coming back a little sooner, however. SEE EYE TO EYE is coming back in a perfect time period, especially with two solid works since she ran, and she looked pretty sharp winning her latest route. It was her third win in a row and she is still undefeated over this track. She certainly won't mind the move back to a sprint and she has enough tactical speed to stay in touch with whatever happens up front. YOOROCK GAL got fried in a duel when she tried to stretch out in her latest and should appreciate the move back to a sprint and the drop in price.

RACE EIGHT: SAVO ISLAND went winless last year but he was facing pretty tough company and if he runs as well as he did in most of his races he is going to be hard to beat. His last three works have all been solid and over the past five years Gilker is a respectable 16 percent when he brings them back from a layoff of 180 days or more. SUPER STEVE has been super at the meet and he is coming off of a confidence building win over conditional claimers. He just missed in a route race at this level in his previous start so we know he can handle the jump in class. JUMP PASS has been off since he finished second to SUPER STEVE in a $12,500 non-winners of two and he was a vet scratch on June 5. Nonetheless, he came back with a bullet 5-furlong move in :59.40 seconds June 12 and could be ready for a big effort with the blinkers coming off. GOLD TICKET won at this level two back and is another possibility in what appears to be a wide-open event.